
cover
- Published: October 2025
- Pages: 410
- Tables: 226
- Figures: 31
The global 6G market represents the next transformational phase in wireless communications, projected to grow from nascent pre-commercial activity valued at $500M-1B in 2026 to a comprehensive ecosystem potentially worth $150B-300B annually by 2036. This explosive growth reflects 6G's evolution from laboratory research to commercial deployment, fundamentally reshaping telecommunications infrastructure, devices, applications, and business models across the decade.
The 6G market encompasses four primary segments with distinct growth trajectories and value propositions:
- Infrastructure including base stations, core networks, and edge computing platforms represents the largest segment a
- Devices and terminals spanning smartphones, IoT sensors, industrial equipment, and vehicles
- Semiconductors and components enabling 6G—including GaN and InP power amplifiers, advanced transceivers, massive MIMO beamformers, and ultra-low-power processors
- Services and applications leveraging 6G capabilities including holographic communications, digital twins, autonomous systems coordination, and immersive extended reality
Several converging technology trends enable 6G's commercial viability and differentiated value proposition. Sub-THz spectrum (100-300 GHz) provides massive bandwidth enabling multi-gigabit throughput but requires entirely new RF architectures including InP-based power amplifiers, advanced antenna arrays, and sophisticated beamforming—creating technology barriers favoring established players while opening opportunities for innovation. Artificial Intelligence integration throughout networks enables autonomous optimization, predictive resource allocation, and intelligent service delivery. Reconfigurable Intelligent Surfaces extend coverage passively at fraction of traditional infrastructure costs while fundamentally changing network architecture philosophy. Non-Terrestrial Networks integrate 20,000-50,000 LEO satellites, HAPS platforms, and drone systems providing universal coverage addressing 3 billion unconnected people and enabling global IoT.
Despite enormous potential, 6G faces significant commercialization challenges including spectrum allocation complexity across 100+ countries with conflicting priorities, technology maturity gaps particularly at sub-THz frequencies where components remain expensive and power-hungry, business case uncertainty as operators question returns on massive infrastructure investments amid market saturation, and geopolitical fragmentation threatening unified global standards as US-China tensions drive divergent technology ecosystems. Successful market development requires continued technology advancement reducing costs and improving performance, regulatory harmonization enabling economies of scale through common standards, compelling applications demonstrating value beyond incremental 5G improvements, and sustainable business models justifying infrastructure investments through new revenue streams rather than cannibalizing existing services.
The Global 6G Market 2026-2036 delivers an authoritative 400+ page analysis of the sixth-generation wireless technology revolution, providing strategic intelligence for telecommunications operators, equipment manufacturers, semiconductor companies, materials suppliers, and investors navigating this $150B-300B market opportunity. This comprehensive market research report examines the complete 6G ecosystem from sub-THz semiconductors and advanced materials through base stations, non-terrestrial networks, MIMO architectures, zero-energy devices, and transformative applications across autonomous vehicles, industrial automation, healthcare, and extended reality.
As 5G deployment matures globally, attention shifts decisively toward 6G's revolutionary capabilities including 100 Gbps-1 Tbps data rates, sub-millisecond latency, massive IoT connectivity supporting 10 million devices per km², and integrated terrestrial-satellite networks providing universal coverage. The report provides granular 10-year forecasts (2026-2036) segmented by technology type, deployment location, frequency band, region, and application vertical, enabling precise strategic planning and investment decisions.
Critical technical analysis addresses the fundamental challenges constraining 6G commercialization: sub-THz power amplifier efficiency limitations, thermal management requirements for 5-10W/cm² heat flux densities, antenna packaging complexities at 100-300 GHz frequencies, and spectrum allocation uncertainties delaying deployment timelines. The report evaluates 25+ semiconductor technologies including GaN, InP, SiGe BiCMOS, and advanced CMOS processes, benchmarking performance against 6G requirements and identifying technology gaps requiring breakthroughs versus evolutionary improvements.
Extensive materials science coverage examines 50+ advanced materials enabling 6G including low-loss dielectrics (Rogers, PTFE, LCP), thermal management solutions (diamond substrates, graphene heat spreaders, phase-change materials), metamaterials for reconfigurable intelligent surfaces, and novel compounds including ionogels, vanadium dioxide, and two-dimensional materials. Each material category includes performance specifications, commercial readiness assessments, supplier landscapes, cost trajectories, and SWOT analyses.
The report provides unparalleled detail on emerging 6G architectures including ultra-massive MIMO with 256-4096 antenna elements, cell-free networks dissolving traditional base station boundaries, RIS panels extending coverage passively at 60-80% cost reduction, and zero-energy IoT devices eliminating battery replacement through energy harvesting. Quantitative analysis includes link budgets, power consumption modeling, thermal simulations, and economic deployment scenarios across urban, suburban, and rural environments.
Regional market analysis covers deployment timelines, spectrum strategies, government investment programs, and competitive dynamics across Asia-Pacific (leading with 2030-2031 launches in China, South Korea, Japan), North America (2031-2032 commercial service), Europe (2032-2033 coordinated rollout), and emerging markets. Country-specific roadmaps detail national 6G programs including funding levels, research priorities, industry partnerships, and standardization activities.
Non-terrestrial network integration receives comprehensive treatment examining LEO satellite constellations (Starlink, Kuiper, OneWeb, Chinese systems), HAPS platforms, direct-to-cell capabilities, and hybrid terrestrial-satellite architectures. Technical and economic analysis addresses launch cost evolution, link budget constraints, spectrum coordination challenges, and business model viability for serving 3 billion unconnected people globally.
Report contents include:
- Evolution from 1G through 5G to 6G with performance comparisons and technology inflection points
- Comprehensive market forecasts 2026-2036 by hardware type, region, frequency band, and application
- Critical success factors, bottlenecks, and risk scenarios affecting commercialization timelines
- Investment landscape analysis covering $30B+ in government and private R&D funding
- 6G radio systems architecture, transceiver design, bandwidth requirements, and modulation schemes
- Power amplifier technology gap analysis identifying 20-40 dB output power deficits at sub-THz frequencies
- Semiconductor evaluation: Si CMOS, SiGe BiCMOS, GaAs, GaN-on-SiC, InP HEMT/HBT benchmarking
- Phased array antenna design challenges, element types, integration approaches, and packaging solutions
- Base Stations & Infrastructure
- Ultra-massive MIMO evolution toward 256-1024+ element arrays with distributed processing
- RIS-enabled self-powered base station designs reducing energy consumption 60-80%
- Thermal management requirements and cooling solutions for 2-5 kW base stations
- Non-terrestrial networks: LEO satellites, HAPS, drones, and direct-to-cell connectivity
- Advanced Materials & Components
- Low-loss dielectrics, thermal management materials, metamaterials, and phase-change compounds
- Comprehensive SWOT analysis for 50+ material categories with TRL assessments
- Supplier landscape covering materials manufacturers, processing companies, and component integrators
- Cost roadmaps and performance evolution projections through 2036
- Zero Energy Devices & Sustainability
- Energy harvesting technologies: photovoltaic, RF, piezoelectric, thermoelectric, triboelectric
- Battery-free storage: supercapacitors, lithium-ion capacitors, structural energy storage
- Ambient backscatter communications and simultaneous wireless information/power transfer (SWIPT)
- Complete system architectures balancing harvesting, storage, processing, and communication
- MIMO Architectures
- Massive MIMO challenges including CSI acquisition, computational complexity, and hardware impairments
- Distributed MIMO and cell-free architectures eliminating traditional cell boundaries
- Performance benchmarking showing 10-100× cell-edge throughput improvements
- Deployment strategies and economic analysis for different MIMO configurations
- Market Forecasts & Applications
- 10-year forecasts segmented by: base stations, devices, semiconductors, materials, RIS, thermal management
- Application analysis: autonomous vehicles, industrial automation, healthcare, extended reality
- Regional market forecasts for North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific with country-level detail
- Unit pricing evolution and total addressable market sizing
- Development Roadmaps
- National 6G programs: USA, China, Japan, South Korea, Europe with funding and milestone tracking
- Spectrum allocation proposals for WRC-27 across sub-7 GHz, FR3 (7-24 GHz), and sub-THz bands
- Standards development timelines through 3GPP Release 21-24 (2028-2036)
- Technology readiness assessments and critical path analysis
- The report includes detailed profiles of 49 leading companies shaping the 6G ecosystem: including AALTO HAPS, AGC Japan, Alcan Systems, Alibaba China, Alphacore, Ampleon, Apple, Atheraxon, Commscope, Echodyne, Ericsson, Fractal Antenna Systems, Freshwave, Fujitsu, Greenerwave, Huawei, ITOCHU, Kymeta, Kyocera, LATYS Intelligence, LG Electronics, META, Metacept Systems, Metawave, Nano Meta Technologies, NEC Corporation, Nokia, NTT DoCoMo, NXP Semiconductors, NVIDIA and more. Each company profile examines 6G technology portfolios, strategic positioning, partnerships, R&D priorities, product roadmaps, and competitive advantages in this transformative market.
1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
- 1.1 From 1G to 6G 26
- 1.2 Evolution from 5G Networks 27
- 1.2.1 Limitations with 5G 27
- 1.2.2 Benefits of 6G 28
- 1.2.3 Advanced materials in 6G 29
- 1.2.4 Recent hardware developments 31
- 1.3 The 6G Market in 2025 31
- 1.3.1 Regional Market Activity 32
- 1.3.2 Investment Landscape 33
- 1.3.3 Market Constraints in 2025 33
- 1.4 Market outlook for 6G 33
- 1.4.1 Growth of Mobile Traffic 34
- 1.4.1.1 Optimistic Scenario 34
- 1.4.1.2 Conservative Scenario 34
- 1.4.1.3 Regional Divergence 35
- 1.4.1.4 Implications for 6G 35
- 1.4.2 Proliferation in Consumer Technology 36
- 1.4.2.1 Smartphone Evolution 36
- 1.4.2.2 Beyond Smartphones 37
- 1.4.3 Industrial and Enterprise Transformation 37
- 1.4.4 Economic Competitiveness 38
- 1.4.5 Sustainability 39
- 1.4.5.1 Energy Efficiency Imperative 39
- 1.4.1 Growth of Mobile Traffic 34
- 1.5 Market drivers and trends 40
- 1.6 Market challenges and bottlenecks 43
- 1.6.1 Critical Bottlenecks 44
- 1.7 Key Conclusions for 6G Communications Systems and Hardware 46
- 1.8 Roadmap 49
- 1.8.1 Critical Path Analysis 50
- 1.9 Market forecasts for 6G 2026-2036 51
- 1.9.1 6G Hardware 52
- 1.9.1.1 By Deployment Location 53
- 1.9.1.2 By Region 54
- 1.9.1.2.1 Regional Dynamics 55
- 1.9.2 Device Unit 55
- 1.9.3 6G vs 5G Base Stations 56
- 1.9.4 Unit Pricing 57
- 1.9.5 6G Base Stations Market 57
- 1.9.5.1 Deployment by Region 58
- 1.9.6 Metamaterials for 6G 58
- 1.9.6.1 Passive Metamaterial Reflect-Arrays 58
- 1.9.7 RIS 60
- 1.9.8 Thermal Management 69
- 1.9.1 6G Hardware 52
- 1.10 Applications 73
- 1.10.1 Connected Autonomous Vehicle Systems 73
- 1.10.2 Next Generation Industrial Automation 74
- 1.10.3 Healthcare Solutions 75
- 1.10.4 Immersive Extended Reality Experiences 76
- 1.11 Geographical Markets for 6G 77
- 1.11.1 North America 77
- 1.11.2 Asia Pacific 78
- 1.11.2.1 China 79
- 1.11.2.2 Japan 79
- 1.11.2.3 South Korea 80
- 1.11.2.4 India 80
- 1.11.3 Europe 81
- 1.12 Main Market Players 81
- 1.13 6G Projects by Country 83
- 1.14 Sustainability in 6G 84
2 INTRODUCTION
- 2.1 What is 6G? 85
- 2.2 Evolving Mobile Communications 87
- 2.3 5G deployment 88
- 2.3.1 Motivation for 6G 89
- 2.3.2 Growth in Mobile Data Traffic 90
- 2.3.2.1 Growth of Mobile Traffic Slows 91
- 2.3.3 Future of Traffic 92
- 2.3.3.1 Continued Exponential Growth (Optimist View) 92
- 2.3.3.2 Structural Deceleration (Realist View) 93
- 2.3.3.3 Plateau and Decline (Pessimist View) 93
- 2.3.4 Traffic Growth Plateau in China 94
- 2.3.5 Video Streaming 95
- 2.4 Multi-Dimensional Value Proposition 97
- 2.5 Potential 6G High-Value Applications 98
- 2.6 Applications and Required Bandwidths 99
- 2.7 Artificial Intelligence's impact on network traffic 100
- 2.7.1 AI Workload: On-Device vs Cloud 102
- 2.8 Autonomous vehicles 104
- 2.8.1 Autonomous Vehicle Communications 104
- 2.8.2 Cooperative Perception 105
- 2.8.3 Vehicle platooning 105
- 2.9 6G Rollout Timeline 107
- 2.9.1 Regional Deployment Timeline 107
- 2.10 6G Spectrum 109
- 2.10.1 6G Candidate Spectrum Bands 109
- 2.10.2 Bands vs Bandwidth 110
- 2.10.3 Bandwidth-Coverage Tradeoff 111
- 2.10.4 6G Spectrum and Deployment 112
- 2.10.4.1 Economic Deployment Model 112
- 2.10.4.1.1 Phase 1: Evolutionary 6G (2029-2034) 113
- 2.10.4.1.2 Phase 2: Revolutionary 6G (2034-2040+) 113
- 2.10.4.1 Economic Deployment Model 112
- 2.11 Frequencies Beyond 100GHz 115
- 2.11.1 Atmospheric Absorption Windows 115
- 2.11.2 Sub-THz Application Viability 116
- 2.11.3 6G Applications 116
3 6G RADIO SYSTEMS
- 3.1 Technical Targets for High Data-Rate 6G Radios 123
- 3.2 6G Transceiver Architecture 124
- 3.3 Technical Elements in 6G Radio Systems 125
- 3.4 Bandwidth and Modulation 126
- 3.5 Bandwidth and MIMO 127
- 3.6 6G Radio Performance 128
- 3.7 Beyond 100 Gbps 129
- 3.8 Hardware Gap 130
- 3.9 Saturated Output Power vs Frequency 132
- 3.10 Power consumption 134
- 3.10.1 Power Consumption of PA Scale with Frequency 136
- 3.10.2 Power Consumption on the Transceiver Side (1, 2, 3) 137
4 BASE STATIONS AND NON-TERRESTRIAL NETWORKS 141
- 4.1 UM-MIMO and Vanishing Base Stations 142
- 4.1.1 Sequence 142
- 4.1.2 RIS-Enabled, Self-Powered 6G UM-MIMO Base Station Design 143
- 4.1.3 Base Station Power and Cooling 144
- 4.1.4 Semiconductor Technologies for 6G Base Stations 146
- 4.1.5 Base Station and MIMO Technology Advances 148
- 4.2 Satellites and Drones 149
- 4.3 Internet of Drones 150
- 4.4 High Altitude Platform Stations (HAPS 151
- 4.5 6G Non-Terrestrial Networks (NTN) 154
- 4.5.1 Connectivity Gap 154
- 4.5.2 Development of LEO NTNs 156
- 4.5.3 NTN Technologies 158
- 4.5.4 HAPS vs LEO vs GEO 160
- 4.5.5 Direct to Cell (D2C) 163
- 4.5.6 NTNs for D2C 164
- 4.5.7 Technologies for Non-Terrestrial Networks 166
5 SEMICONDUCTORS FOR 6G 169
- 5.1 Introduction 169
- 5.2 RF Transistors Performance 170
- 5.3 Si-based Semiconductors 170
- 5.3.1 CMOS 170
- 5.3.1.1 Bulk vs SOI 171
- 5.3.1.2 SiGe 172
- 5.3.1 CMOS 170
- 5.4 GaAs and GaN 174
- 5.4.1 State-of-the-Art GaAs Based Amplifier 177
- 5.4.2 GaAs vs GaN for RF Power Amplifiers 177
- 5.4.3 Power Amplifier Technology Benchmarking 178
- 5.5 InP (Indium Phosphide) 179
- 5.5.1 InP HEMT vs InP HBT 179
- 5.5.2 Heterogeneous Integration of InP with SiGe BiCMOS 180
- 5.6 Semiconductor Challenges for THz Communications 182
- 5.7 Semiconductor Supply Chain 184
6 PHASE ARRAY ANTENNAS FOR 6G 185
- 6.1 Challenges in mmWave Phased Array Systems 185
- 6.2 Antenna Architectures 187
- 6.3 Challenges in 6G Antennas 188
- 6.4 Power and Antenna Array Size 189
- 6.5 5G Phased Array Antenna 190
- 6.6 Antenna Manufacturers 191
- 6.7 Technology Benchmarking 192
- 6.8 GHz Phased Array 193
- 6.9 Antenna Types 194
- 6.10 Phased Array Modules 195
7 ADVANCED PACKAGING FOR 6G 196
- 7.1 Packaging Requirements 197
- 7.2 Antenna Packaging Technology Options 197
- 7.3 mmWave Antenna Integration 198
- 7.3.1 Antenna-on-Board (AoB) 198
- 7.3.2 Antenna-in-Package (AiP) 199
- 7.3.3 Antenna-on-Chip (AoC) 199
- 7.4 Next Generation Phased Array Targets 201
- 7.5 Antenna Packaging vs Operational Frequency 202
- 7.6 Integration Technologies 203
- 7.7 Approaches to Integrate InP on CMOS 204
- 7.8 Antenna Integration Challenges 205
- 7.9 Substrate Materials for AiP 207
- 7.10 Antenna on Chip (AoC) for 6G 208
- 7.11 Evolution of Hardware Components from 5G to 6G 209
8 MATERIALS AND TECHNOLOGIES FOR 6G 209
- 8.1 6G ZED Compounds and Carbon Allotropes 210
- 8.2 Thermal Cooling and Conductor Materials 211
- 8.3 Thermal Metamaterials for 6G 212
- 8.4 Ionogels for 6G 213
- 8.5 Advanced Heat Shielding and Thermal Insulation 214
- 8.6 Low-Loss Dielectrics 215
- 8.7 Optical and Sub-THz 6G Materials 216
- 8.8 Materials for Metamaterial-Based 6G RIS 216
- 8.9 Electrically-Functionalized Transparent Glass for 6G OTA, T-RIS 217
- 8.10 Low-Loss Materials for mmWave and THz 218
- 8.11 Inorganic Compounds 220
- 8.11.1 Overview 220
- 8.11.2 Materials 220
- 8.12 Elements 221
- 8.12.1 Overview 221
- 8.12.2 Materials 222
- 8.13 Organic Compounds 222
- 8.13.1 Overview 222
- 8.13.2 Materials 223
- 8.14 6G Dielectrics 224
- 8.14.1 Overview 224
- 8.14.2 Companies 224
- 8.15 Metamaterials 225
- 8.15.1 Overview 225
- 8.15.2 Metamaterials for RIS in Telecommunication 226
- 8.15.3 RIS Performance and Economics 226
- 8.15.4 Applications 227
- 8.15.4.1 Reconfigurable Antennas 227
- 8.15.4.2 Wireless Sensing 227
- 8.15.4.3 Wi-Fi/Bluetooth 228
- 8.15.4.4 5G and 6G Metasurfaces for Wireless Communications 228
- 8.15.4.4.1 5G Applications 228
- 8.15.4.4.2 6G Evolution 228
- 8.15.4.5 Hypersurfaces 229
- 8.15.4.6 Active Material Patterning 229
- 8.15.4.7 Optical ENZ Metamaterials 230
- 8.15.4.8 Liquid Crystal Polymers 230
- 8.15.4.8.1 LCP Applications in 6G 230
- 8.16 Thermal Management 232
- 8.16.1 Overview 232
- 8.16.2 Thermal Materials and Structures for 6G 232
- 8.16.2.1 Advanced Ceramics 232
- 8.16.2.2 Diamond-based Materials 233
- 8.16.2.3 Graphene and Carbon Nanotubes 233
- 8.16.2.4 Phase Change Materials (PCMs) 233
- 8.16.2.5 Advanced Polymers 234
- 8.16.2.6 Metal Matrix Composites 234
- 8.16.2.7 Two-Dimensional Materials 235
- 8.16.2.8 Nanofluid Coolants 235
- 8.16.2.9 Thermal Metamaterials 235
- 8.16.2.10 Hydrogels 235
- 8.16.2.11 Aerogels 236
- 8.16.2.12 Pyrolytic Graphite 236
- 8.16.2.13 Thermoelectrics 236
- 8.16.2.13.1 Cooling Applications 237
- 8.16.2.13.2 Energy Harvesting 237
- 8.17 Graphene and 2D Materials 238
- 8.17.1 Overview 238
- 8.17.2 Applications 238
- 8.17.2.1 Supercapacitors, LiC and Pseudocapacitors 238
- 8.17.2.2 Graphene Transistors 239
- 8.17.2.3 Graphene THz Device Structures 239
- 8.18 Fiber Optics 240
- 8.18.1 Overview 240
- 8.18.2 Materials and Applications in 6G 240
- 8.18.2.1 Key Optical Materials 241
- 8.18.2.2 6G Fiber-Wireless Architecture 241
- 8.19 Smart EM Devices 242
- 8.19.1 Overview 242
- 8.20 Photoactive Materials 243
- 8.20.1 Overview 243
- 8.20.2 Applications in 6G 243
- 8.20.2.1 Optically-Controlled RIS 243
- 8.21 Silicon Carbide 244
- 8.21.1 Overview 244
- 8.21.2 Applications in 6G 244
- 8.21.2.1 GaN-on-SiC Power Amplifiers 244
- 8.21.2.2 Thermal Management 244
- 8.21.2.3 RF Substrates 244
- 8.22 Phase-Change Materials 245
- 8.22.1 Overview 245
- 8.22.2 Applications in 6G 245
- 8.22.2.1 Reconfigurable Metamaterials 245
- 8.22.2.2 Reconfigurable Antennas 245
- 8.22.2.3 RF Switches 245
- 8.23 Vanadium Dioxide 246
- 8.23.1 Overview 246
- 8.23.2 Applications in 6G 246
- 8.23.2.1 Ultrafast RF Switches 246
- 8.23.2.2 Thermally-Triggered Devices 247
- 8.23.2.3 Tunable Metamaterials 247
- 8.24 Micro-mechanics, MEMS and Microfluidics 247
- 8.24.1 Overview 247
- 8.24.2 Applications in 6G 248
- 8.25 Solid State Cooling 249
- 8.25.1 Overview 249
- 8.25.2 Thermoelectric Cooling 249
- 8.25.3 Electrocaloric and Magnetocaloric Cooling 249
9 MIMO FOR 6G 250
- 9.1 MIMO in Wireless Communications 250
- 9.2 Challenges with mMIMO 251
- 9.3 Distributed MIMO 253
- 9.4 Cell-free Massive MIMO (Large-Scale Distributed MIMO) 253
- 9.5 6G Massive MIMO 255
- 9.6 Cell-Free MIMO 255
- 9.7 Cell-Free Massive MIMO 258
- 9.7.1 Overview 258
10 ZERO ENERGY DEVICES (ZED) AND BATTERY ELIMINATION 261
- 10.1 Overview 261
- 10.2 ZED-Related Technology 262
- 10.2.1 Drivers for ZED and Battery-Free 263
- 10.3 Zero-Energy and Battery-Free 6G 265
- 10.4 Electricity consumption of wireless networks 268
- 10.5 Technologies 269
- 10.5.1 On-Board Harvesting Technologies Compared and Prioritized 269
- 10.5.2 6G ZED Design Approaches 272
- 10.5.3 Device Architecture 273
- 10.5.4 Energy Harvesting 274
- 10.5.5 Device Battery-Free Storage 275
- 10.5.5.1 Supercapacitors 275
- 10.5.5.2 Lithium-Ion Capacitors (LIC) 275
- 10.5.5.3 "Massless Energy" for ZED 277
- 10.5.6 Ambient Backscatter Communications AmBC, Crowd Detectable CD-ZED, SWIPT 279
- 10.6 6G ZED Materials and Technologies 282
- 10.6.1 Metamaterials 282
- 10.6.2 IRS (Intelligent Reflecting Surfaces) 282
- 10.6.3 RIS (Reconfigurable Intelligent Surfaces) 282
- 10.6.4 Simultaneous Wireless Information and Power Transfer (SWIPT) 282
- 10.6.5 Ambient Backscatter Communications (AmBC) 283
- 10.6.6 Energy Harvesting for 6G 284
- 10.6.6.1 Photovoltaics 284
- 10.6.6.2 Ambient RF 285
- 10.6.6.3 Electrodynamic 286
- 10.6.6.4 Piezoelectric materials 286
- 10.6.6.5 Triboelectric nanogenerators (TENGs 287
- 10.6.6.6 Thermoelectric generators (TEGs) 288
- 10.6.6.7 Pyroelectric materials 289
- 10.6.6.8 Thermal Hydrovoltaic 289
- 10.6.6.9 Biofuel Cells 290
- 10.6.7 Ultra-Low-Power Electronics 291
- 10.6.7.1 Supercapacitors 292
- 10.6.7.2 Hybrid Approaches 293
- 10.6.7.3 Pseudocapacitors 294
11 6G DEVELOPMENT ROADMAPS 296
- 11.1 Spectrum for 6G 303
- 11.2 Global 6G Government Initiatives 313
- 11.3 6G Development Roadmap - South Korea 316
- 11.4 6G Development Roadmap - Japan 319
- 11.5 6G Development Roadmap - US 326
12 COMPANY PROFILES 335 (49 company profiles)
13 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY 413
14 REFERENCES 414
List of Tables
- Table 1. Evolution of Mobile Wireless Communications from 1G to 6G 26
- Table 2. Key Limitations with 5G Networks. 27
- Table 3. Key Differentiators and Benefits of 6G vs 5G. 28
- Table 4. Advanced Materials Enabling 6G Communications. 29
- Table 5. Notable 6G Hardware Demonstrations (2024-2025). 31
- Table 6. 6G Market Readiness Indicators (2025). 32
- Table 7. Global 6G R&D Investment by Source (2023-2025). 33
- Table 8. Global Mobile Data Traffic Growth (2018-2025). 34
- Table 9. Mobile Data Traffic Forecasts - Competing Scenarios (2026-2036). 35
- Table 10. Smartphone Capability Evolution Through 6G Era. 36
- Table 11. Enterprise 6G Market Forecast by Vertical (2030-2036), 38
- Table 12. Government 6G Strategy Approaches by Country. 38
- Table 13. Network Energy Consumption Evolution and 6G Targets. 39
- Table 14. Primary Market Drivers for 6G Adoption (2026-2036). 40
- Table 15. Critical Challenges and Bottlenecks for 6G Market Development. 43
- Table 16. Sub-THz Power Amplifier Technology Gap Analysis. 45
- Table 17. 6G Hardware Technology Readiness Roadmap 51
- Table 18. Global 6G Market Forecast Summary (2026-2036). 51
- Table 19. 6G Hardware Market by Location Type (2030, 2033, 2036). 53
- Table 20. 6G Infrastructure Market by Region (2030, 2033, 2036). 54
- Table 21. Global Device Unit Forecasts - Optimistic Scenario (2024-2036). 55
- Table 22. Base Station Market Evolution - 5G vs 6G (2025-2036). 56
- Table 23. Average Base Station Unit Pricing Evolution. 57
- Table 24. 6G Base Station Market - Success Scenario (2029-2036). 57
- Table 25. 6G Base Station Deployment by Region (2030 vs 2036). 58
- Table 26. Passive Metamaterial Reflect-Array Market Forecast. 58
- Table 27. Passive RIS Deployment Distribution (2036). 60
- Table 28. Total 6G RIS Market Forecast by Technology Type. 60
- Table 29. RIS Annual Area Deployment Forecast. 61
- Table 30. RIS Average Selling Price Evolution by Technology Type. 62
- Table 31. RIS Pricing by Region (2036, Passive Technology). 63
- Table 32. RIS Market Segmentation by Technology and Frequency Band. 63
- Table 33. RIS Market Share by Technology Type and Frequency. 65
- Table 34. RIS Panel Metrics Evolution. 66
- Table 35. Representative RIS Installation Profiles (2036). 67
- Table 36. RIS Market Segmentation by Deployment Context. 68
- Table 37. Sub-THz Electronics Market Segmentation. 69
- Table 38. 6G Thermal Management Market Forecast. 69
- Table 39. Thermal Management Market by Technology Type (2036). 70
- Table 40. 5G vs 6G Thermal Interface Material Market to 2046. 72
- Table 41. TIM Performance Requirements - 5G vs 6G. 72
- Table 42. Autonomous Vehicle Connectivity Requirements 73
- Table 43. 6G-Connected Autonomous Vehicle Market Forecast. 74
- Table 44. 6G Industrial Automation Market by Segment (2036) 74
- Table 45. 6G Healthcare Market Forecast (2030-2036). 76
- Table 46. XR Experience Tiers and 6G Requirements. 76
- Table 47. 6G-Enabled XR Market (2030-2036). 77
- Table 48. North America 6G Market Forecast (2026-2036). 77
- Table 49. US Operator 6G Investment Profile. 77
- Table 50. Asia Pacific 6G Market Forecast by Sub-Region (2036). 78
- Table 51. Europe 6G Market Forecast by Major Markets (2036). 81
- Table 52. Leading 6G Equipment Vendors. 81
- Table 53. Semiconductor Companies for 6G. 82
- Table 54. Key Materials and Component Suppliers. 82
- Table 55. Major Government-Funded 6G Programs Worldwide 83
- Table 56. 6G Sustainability Targets vs. 5G Baseline. 84
- Table 57. Defining Characteristics of 6G. 85
- Table 58. Common Misconceptions. 86
- Table 59. Evolution of Mobile Communications Focus. 87
- Table 60. Global 5G Deployment Status (2025). 88
- Table 61. 5G Performance - Promised vs. Delivered (2025). 88
- Table 62. Application Requirements Exceeding 5G Capabilities. 89
- Table 63. Global Mobile Data Traffic Evolution (2015-2025) 90
- Table 64. Per Capita Data Usage - Developed Markets (2020-2025). 91
- Table 65. China Mobile Data Traffic Evolution (2018-2025). 94
- Table 66. Video Streaming Traffic Share Evolution. 95
- Table 67. Video Streaming Bandwidth Requirements. 96
- Table 68. Applications Requiring >1 Gbps Sustained Bandwidth. 96
- Table 69. Comprehensive Application Bandwidth Requirements. 99
- Table 70. Net AI Impact on Mobile Data Traffic (2025-2036). 102
- Table 71. AI Workload Distribution Evolution. 102
- Table 72. Autonomous Vehicle Communication Requirements by Level. 104
- Table 73. Autonomous Vehicle 6G Connectivity Market Forecast. 105
- Table 74. Platooning Benefits and Requirements. 105
- Table 75. Platooning Connectivity Market. 106
- Table 76. Key 5G Lessons and 6G Responses 106
- Table 77. Comprehensive 6G Development and Deployment Timeline. 107
- Table 78. 6G Commercial Launch Timeline by Region. 108
- Table 79. 6G Candidate Spectrum Bands. 109
- Table 80. Regional Spectrum Priorities for 6G. 110
- Table 81. Bandwidth Availability by Frequency Range. 110
- Table 82. Achievable Data Rates by Spectrum Allocation. 111
- Table 83. Path Loss Comparison Across Frequencies. 111
- Table 84. Deployment Strategy by Frequency Band. 112
- Table 85. Detailed 5G vs 6G Performance Comparison 114
- Table 86. Characteristics of >100 GHz Frequency Bands. 115
- Table 87. Atmospheric Windows for Sub-THz Communications. 115
- Table 88. Application Suitability for >100 GHz. 116
- Table 89. 6G Application Portfolio. 116
- Table 90. Core 6G Enabling Technologies. 117
- Table 91. 6G Radio System Technical Targets 123
- Table 92. 6G Transceiver Component Requirements. 125
- Table 93. Bandwidth Requirements for Target Data Rates. 126
- Table 94. Spectrum Allocation Scenarios for Extreme Data Rates. 127
- Table 95. MIMO Configuration Trade-offs. 128
- Table 96. Critical 6G Radio Performance Parameters 128
- Table 97. Notable 100+ Gbps Wireless Demonstrations (2023-2025) 129
- Table 98. Range vs Frequency Analysis for 6G 130
- Table 99. Power Amplifier Output Power vs Frequency 131
- Table 100. Semiconductor Technology Comparison for Sub-THz Power Amplifiers 132
- Table 101. Power Budget for 140 GHz Base Station Radio Unit 134
- Table 102. Power Scaling with Array Size 136
- Table 103. PA Efficiency vs Frequency Trend 136
- Table 104. Transmission Distance vs Frequency for Fixed Power Budget 137
- Table 105. Receiver Power Breakdown by Function 139
- Table 106. Power Comparison - 5G mmWave vs 6G Sub-THz 139
- Table 107. Terrestrial vs Non-Terrestrial 6G Infrastructure Comparison 141
- Table 108. Base Station Power Consumption Evolution and Cooling Requirements 145
- Table 109. Critical Semiconductor Technologies for 6G Base Stations 146
- Table 110. Drone Network Applications and Requirements 150
- Table 111. HAPS Characteristics and Comparison with Alternatives 152
- Table 112. Connectivity Gap Analysis by Region (2025) 155
- Table 113. Major LEO Constellation Status and Plans (2025) 157
- Table 114. Comprehensive NTN Technology Performance Comparison 160
- Table 115. Qualitative Feature Comparison - HAPS vs LEO vs GEO 162
- Table 116. Link Budget Summary for Direct-to-Cell Scenarios 165
- Table 117. Critical NTN Enabling Technologies and Status 167
- Table 118. Semiconductor Selection Criteria Priority Matrix 169
- Table 119. Bulk CMOS vs SOI Comparison 171
- Table 120. Advanced CMOS RF Performance by Process Node 172
- Table 121. SiGe Technology Evolution for 6G 173
- Table 122. Major SiGe BiCMOS Foundries and Capabilities 173
- Table 123. Wide Bandgap Semiconductor Properties 174
- Table 124. GaN Substrate Comparison 175
- Table 125. Best Reported GaN PA Performance (2024-2025) 176
- Table 126. GaN Manufacturing Capacity for 6G (2025) 176
- Table 127. GaAs Application Opportunities in 6G 176
- Table 128. Advanced GaAs Amplifier Performance (2025) 177
- Table 129. Direct Technology Comparison - GaAs vs GaN 177
- Table 130. Comprehensive PA Technology Comparison at Key 6G Frequencies 178
- Table 131. InP Technology State-of-the-Art (2025) 179
- Table 132. InP Device Type Comparison 179
- Table 133. InP Market Forecast for 6G (2030-2036) 180
- Table 134. InP-SiGe Integration Methods 180
- Table 135. Leading InP PA Demonstrations (2024-2025) 181
- Table 136. Silicon vs III-V Compound Semiconductor Comparison 181
- Table 137. Critical Semiconductor Challenges for 6G Sub-THz 182
- Table 138. Semiconductor Technology Recommendation by Application 183
- Table 139. 6G Semiconductor Supply Chain - Capacity and Constraints (2025) 184
- Table 140. 6G Antenna Requirements vs 5G Comparison 185
- Table 141. mmWave/Sub-THz Phased Array Challenges and Solutions 186
- Table 142. Antenna Element Size vs Frequency 186
- Table 143. 6G Antenna Architecture Comparison 187
- Table 144. Critical 6G Antenna Design Challenges 188
- Table 145. Theoretical vs Practical Antenna Array Gain 189
- Table 146. Power-Array Size Trade-off Analysis for 100m Range at 140 GHz 189
- Table 147. Commercial 5G mmWave Phased Array Antenna Specifications (2024-2025) 190
- Table 148. Major Antenna and Phased Array Module Suppliers for 6G 191
- Table 149. Nokia 90 GHz Array Performance Summary 192
- Table 150. Comparative Analysis - 28 GHz vs 90 GHz vs 140 GHz Arrays 192
- Table 151. 140 GHz Transceiver Module Component Budget (16-element array) 193
- Table 152. Semiconductor Technology Selection for 140 GHz Array Components 193
- Table 153. Detailed Antenna Element Types for 6G Phased Arrays 194
- Table 154. Commercial Readiness Assessment of D-band Phased Arrays (2025) 195
- Table 155. 5G to 6G Antenna Module Evolution 196
- Table 156. Packaging Technology Selection Matrix for 6G 198
- Table 157. Antenna Integration Approach Comparison 199
- Table 158. Detailed Technology Benchmark 200
- Table 159. Next-Generation Phased Array Packaging Targets 201
- Table 160. Packaging Technology Viability by Frequency 202
- Table 161. Integration Technology Trade-off Matrix 204
- Table 162. InP-CMOS Integration Approaches 205
- Table 163. AiP vs Discrete Antenna Techniques 207
- Table 164. Substrate Material Performance Comparison at 140 GHz 207
- Table 165. Manufacturing Technology Comparison 208
- Table 166. AoC vs AiP Performance 209
- Table 167. 6G Material Requirements vs Current Capabilities 210
- Table 168. Low/Zero Expansion Materials for 6G. 211
- Table 169. Thermal Management Material Ranking for 6G 211
- Table 170. Thermal Management Evolution 5G to 6G 213
- Table 171. Ionogel vs Alternatives for Tunable RF 213
- Table 172. Thermal Insulation Material Comparison 214
- Table 173. Low-Loss Dielectric Material Priority Ranking 215
- Table 174. Dielectric Constant (Dk) and Loss Factor (Df) Requirements 215
- Table 175. Optical and Sub-THz Material Requirements. 216
- Table 176. RIS Material Comparison 216
- Table 177. Transparent Conductor Comparison 217
- Table 178. Low-Loss Material Landscape 218
- Table 179. Commercial Availability and Roadmap 219
- Table 180. Low-Loss Materials SWOT for 6G 220
- Table 181. Key Inorganic Compounds for 6G 220
- Table 182. Elemental Materials for 6G Applications 222
- Table 183. Organic Materials for 6G Applications 223
- Table 184. 6G Dielectrics Market SWOT 224
- Table 185. RIS Metamaterial Implementation Approaches 226
- Table 186. Metamaterial Manufacturing Approaches 227
- Table 187. Metasurface Performance Evolution 5G to 6G 228
- Table 188. Liquid Crystal Materials for 6G 230
- Table 189. Metamaterials SWOT for 6G 231
- Table 190. Thermal Management for 6G SWOT 237
- Table 191. Graphene THz Devices Performance and Status 239
- Table 192. Optical Component Requirements for 6G Fronthaul 241
- Table 193. Phase-Change Materials for 6G Tuning 245
- Table 194. MEMS vs Solid-State RF Components for 6G 248
- Table 195. MIMO Technology Evolution Across Wireless Generations 251
- Table 196. Massive MIMO Scaling Challenges 252
- Table 197. Cell-Free Massive MIMO vs Traditional Cellular 254
- Table 198. Cellular vs Cell-Free Architecture Comparison 256
- Table 199. Cell-Free MIMO Deployment Challenges and Solutions 257
- Table 200. MIMO Architecture Evolution Summary 258
- Table 201. Zero Energy Device Vision for 6G IoT 261
- Table 202. ZED-Related Technology Landscape 262
- Table 203. Real-World Battery-Free Device Examples 264
- Table 204. 6G Device Power Requirements and ZED Viability 265
- Table 205. ZED Strategy Combination Examples 267
- Table 206. 6G Technology Investment Priorities 268
- Table 207. Comprehensive Energy Harvesting Technology Comparison 269
- Table 208. ZED Technology Readiness Assessment (2025) 271
- Table 209. ZED Design Target Examples by Application Class 272
- Table 210. ZED System Architecture Components 273
- Table 211. Energy Harvesting Enhancement Techniques 274
- Table 212. Energy Storage Comparison for ZED 276
- Table 213. SWOT Appraisal of Battery-Less Storage Technologies 278
- Table 214. Zero-Power Communication Methods Comparison 280
- Table 215. Critical ZED Research Areas and Priorities (2025-2030) 280
- Table 216. SWIPT Implementation Comparison 283
- Table 217. Photovoltaic Technologies for 6G ZED 284
- Table 218. Piezoelectric Harvester Comparison 287
- Table 219. Thermoelectric Harvesting Scenarios 288
- Table 220. Ultra-Low-Power Component Performance (2025) 291
- Table 221. Hybrid Storage Device Comparison 293
- Table 222. Major 6G Equipment Vendor Positioning (2025) 296
- Table 223. National/Regional 6G Spectrum Proposals (WRC-27) 303
- Table 224. Upper 6 GHz Regulatory Status by Region 306
- Table 225. Open RAN Evolution - 5G to 6G 308
- Table 226. Major Government 6G Programs. 313
List of Figures
- Figure 1. 140 GHz THz prototype from Samsung and UCSB 25
- Figure 2. D-Band (110 to 175 Hz) Phased-Array-on-Glass Modules from Nokia 25
- Figure 3. Evolution of Mobile Networks: From 1G to 6G. 27
- Figure 4. Nokia spectrum vision in the 6G era. 36
- Figure 5. 6G Systems, Materials and Standards Roadmaps 2026-2046. 50
- Figure 6. 6G Hardware Market by Location Type (2030, 2033, 2036). 53
- Figure 7. 6G Infrastructure Market by Region (2030, 2033, 2036). 55
- Figure 8. Global Device Unit Forecasts - Optimistic Scenario (2024-2036). 56
- Figure 9. Base Station Market Evolution - 5G vs 6G (2025-2036). 57
- Figure 10. 6G Base Station Market - Success Scenario (2029-2036). 58
- Figure 11. 6G Base Station Deployment by Region (2030 vs 2036). 58
- Figure 12. Passive Metamaterial Reflect-Array Market Forecast. 59
- Figure 13. Total 6G RIS Market Forecast by Technology Type. 60
- Figure 14. RIS Annual Area Deployment Forecast. 62
- Figure 15. RIS Average Selling Price Evolution by Technology Type. 63
- Figure 16. RIS Market Segmentation by Technology and Frequency Band. 64
- Figure 17. RIS Panel Metrics Evolution. 66
- Figure 18. Sub-THz Electronics Market Segmentation. 69
- Figure 19. 6G Thermal Management Market Forecast. 70
- Figure 20. 5G vs 6G Thermal Interface Material Market to 2046. 72
- Figure 21. 6G Healthcare Market Forecast (2030-2036). 76
- Figure 22. 6G-Enabled XR Market (2030-2036). 77
- Figure 23. North America 6G Market Forecast (2026-2036). 77
- Figure 24. Asia Pacific 6G Market Forecast by Sub-Region (2036). 78
- Figure 25. Europe 6G Market Forecast by Major Markets (2036). 81
- Figure 26. Power efficiency roadmap . 140
- Figure 27. Base Station Evolution Roadmap 142
- Figure 28. metaAIR. 363
- Figure 29.Millimeter-wave mobile network utilizing a radio-over-fiber system 370
- Figure 30. Left) Image of beamforming using phased-array wireless device. (Right) Comparison of previously reported transmission with beamforming wireless devices and this achievement.. 374
- Figure 31. Radi-cool metamaterial film. 393
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